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MLB · Wed, Aug 12, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Athletics
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 12 · 4 Athletics. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.61 | +6.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Heim | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.96 | +23.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeff McNeil | Athletics | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +22.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Lawrence Butler | Athletics | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +20.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.53 | +18.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeff McNeil | Athletics | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +13.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +11.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Tommy White | Athletics | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +11.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.41 | +11.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tommy White | Athletics | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +10.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.01 | +9.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Carlos Cortes | Athletics | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +9.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.33 | +8.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +7.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.79 | +7.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.38 | +6.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jacob Wilson | Athletics | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +5.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +5.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Lawrence Butler | Athletics | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.40 | +4.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +4.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +4.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| Cedric Mullins | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +4.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +3.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +2.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Carlos Cortes | Athletics | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.41 | +0.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +0.2% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Athletics or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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