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MLB · Sun, Aug 16, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 10 · 2 Tampa Bay Rays. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.23 | +31.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +19.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.94 | +16.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trevor Rogers | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.08 | +11.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +10.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +4.6% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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