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MLB · Sat, Aug 22, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 2 · 3 Baltimore Orioles. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +26.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.69 | +20.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.91 | +13.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +8.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +4.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +0.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +0.0% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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