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MLB · Mon, Sep 7, 2026
Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Washington Nationals 5 · 7 Los Angeles Dodgers. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.84 | +3.7% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.98 | +0.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.00 | +31.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +27.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +22.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +21.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +16.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +14.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +9.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Will Smith | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +5.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Enrique Hernandez | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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