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MLB · Thu, Sep 10, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 1 · 14 Los Angeles Dodgers. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.80 | +28.6% | 10 | LOSS |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.82 | +20.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.89 | +10.6% | n/a | PUSH |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +10.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +5.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Rhett Lowder | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.82 | +5.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +4.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Will Smith | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +3.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +2.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +0.6% | 6 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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