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MLB · Sun, Sep 20, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros
Final score: Atlanta Braves 4 · 2 Houston Astros. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.18 | +6.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.65 | +60.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.15 | +31.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.78 | +21.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.78 | +20.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Martin Perez | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.12 | +15.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.75 | +8.3% | 10 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +2.7% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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