Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Sun, Oct 4, 2026
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants
Final score: Arizona Cardinals 24 · 36 New York Giants. 32 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | 2.5 | 1.93 | +9.2% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.15 | +8.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Johnson | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.79 | +90.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jameis Winston | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 6.5 | 1.92 | +55.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Theo Johnson | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.91 | +44.9% | 11 | WIN |
| Theo Johnson | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 8.5 | 1.93 | +44.2% | 11 | WIN |
| Michael Wilson | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | over | 56.5 | 1.88 | +42.0% | 95 | WIN |
| Malik Nabers | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 55.5 | 1.91 | +41.4% | 112 | LOSS |
| Malik Nabers | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 56.5 | 1.88 | +40.6% | 112 | LOSS |
| Jameis Winston | New York Giants | Passing Yards | under | 208.5 | 1.89 | +39.7% | 250 | LOSS |
| Michael Wilson | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | over | 58.5 | 1.88 | +39.4% | 95 | WIN |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 42.5 | 1.88 | +38.6% | 66 | LOSS |
| Elijah Higgins | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +37.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 40.5 | 1.89 | +34.7% | 66 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.62 | +34.5% | 7 | LOSS |
| Michael Wilson | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 1.64 | +31.3% | 7 | WIN |
| Malik Nabers | New York Giants | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.11 | +30.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Passing Yards | over | 231.5 | 1.90 | +29.9% | 166 | LOSS |
| Jameis Winston | New York Giants | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +29.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Passing Yards | over | 232.5 | 1.90 | +29.1% | 166 | LOSS |
| Theo Johnson | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.42 | +28.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | over | 61.5 | 1.88 | +25.5% | 31 | LOSS |
| Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | over | 6.5 | 1.74 | +25.1% | 7 | WIN |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 20.5 | 1.93 | +21.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | over | 65.5 | 1.91 | +19.0% | 31 | LOSS |
| Najee Harris | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.87 | +18.9% | 30 | WIN |
| Najee Harris | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.92 | +18.7% | 30 | WIN |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.70 | +12.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +6.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Rushing Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.87 | +4.0% | 18 | LOSS |
| Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | under | 63.5 | 1.89 | +3.1% | 58 | WIN |
| Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.89 | +1.1% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving New York Giants or Arizona Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at New York Giants | 41 | 70.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers | 38 | 78.9% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 14, 2026 | Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers | 19 | 68.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.