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NFL · Fri, Nov 13, 2026
Washington Commanders at New York Giants
Final score: Washington Commanders 24 · 21 New York Giants. 32 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 40.5 | 1.85 | +7.2% | WIN |
| Spread | home | -2.5 | 1.95 | +3.2% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.70 | +2.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| J.J. McCarthy | New York Giants | Passing Yards | under | 211.5 | 1.88 | +43.5% | 293 | LOSS |
| Theo Johnson | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 4.5 | 1.85 | +41.3% | 8 | WIN |
| Theo Johnson | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +39.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Treylon Burks | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | under | 28.5 | 1.90 | +38.9% | 27 | WIN |
| Austin Ekeler | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 9.5 | 1.95 | +35.6% | 26 | WIN |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 47.5 | 1.90 | +35.5% | 127 | LOSS |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | under | 37.5 | 1.90 | +34.8% | 47 | LOSS |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 13.5 | 1.88 | +31.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| Antonio Williams | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.88 | +31.2% | 42 | LOSS |
| Austin Ekeler | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | under | 29.5 | 1.88 | +28.7% | 26 | WIN |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.97 | +26.3% | 9 | LOSS |
| Treylon Burks | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.56 | +23.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Devin Singletary | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.88 | +22.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Antonio Williams | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.05 | +21.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.86 | +21.0% | 5 | WIN |
| J.J. McCarthy | New York Giants | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +15.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +14.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.28 | +13.8% | 6 | WIN |
| Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.90 | +13.5% | 44 | WIN |
| Chig Okonkwo | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.17 | +13.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Austin Ekeler | Washington Commanders | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +12.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 38.5 | 1.92 | +9.0% | 83 | WIN |
| Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 53.5 | 1.88 | +6.1% | 78 | WIN |
| Devin Singletary | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +6.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jayden Daniels | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.90 | +5.1% | 28 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.62 | +3.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Chig Okonkwo | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 33.5 | 1.87 | +3.4% | 24 | LOSS |
| J.J. McCarthy | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.85 | +2.6% | 34 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving New York Giants or Washington Commanders that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 8, 2026 | Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders | 33 | 48.5% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 8, 2026 | New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles | 30 | 53.3% | View → |
| Mon, Nov 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | New York Giants at Houston Texans | 42 | 64.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers | 24 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | New Orleans Saints at New York Giants | 40 | 30.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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