Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Sun, Oct 4, 2026
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings
Final score: Miami Dolphins 10 · 15 Minnesota Vikings. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 4.96 | +48.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Felton | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.95 | +92.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jaylen Wright | Miami Dolphins | Receptions | under | 0.5 | 2.84 | +90.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Tai Felton | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.93 | +89.9% | 14 | WIN |
| Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | under | 62.5 | 1.89 | +77.0% | 52 | WIN |
| Ollie Gordon II | Miami Dolphins | Rushing Yards | under | 24.5 | 1.92 | +65.7% | 100 | LOSS |
| Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.75 | +64.3% | 4 | WIN |
| T.J. Hockenson | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.91 | +57.2% | 119 | LOSS |
| Malik Washington | Miami Dolphins | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.78 | +52.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Malik Washington | Miami Dolphins | Receiving Yards | under | 40.5 | 1.88 | +51.2% | 67 | LOSS |
| Ollie Gordon II | Miami Dolphins | Receiving Yards | under | 6.5 | 1.87 | +49.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Ollie Gordon II | Miami Dolphins | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +46.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ryan Miller | Miami Dolphins | Receptions | under | 0.5 | 2.10 | +46.0% | 0 | WIN |
| T.J. Hockenson | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.74 | +41.9% | 13 | LOSS |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Rushing Yards | over | 22.5 | 1.91 | +40.3% | 16 | LOSS |
| Jaylen Wright | Miami Dolphins | Receiving Yards | under | 5.5 | 1.96 | +38.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jauan Jennings | Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.09 | +38.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jauan Jennings | Minnesota Vikings | Receiving Yards | over | 27.5 | 1.91 | +31.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| Malik Washington | Miami Dolphins | Rushing Yards | under | 4.5 | 1.98 | +29.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Jaylen Wright | Miami Dolphins | Rushing Yards | under | 29.5 | 1.88 | +28.5% | 7 | WIN |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Passing Yards | under | 203.5 | 1.89 | +22.5% | 247 | LOSS |
| Kyler Murray | Minnesota Vikings | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +18.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Malik Willis | Miami Dolphins | Rushing Yards | over | 31.5 | 1.89 | +16.7% | 11 | LOSS |
| Malik Willis | Miami Dolphins | Passing Yards | over | 171.5 | 1.88 | +15.6% | 85 | LOSS |
| Ryan Miller | Miami Dolphins | Receiving Yards | under | 4.5 | 1.88 | +10.7% | 0 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Vikings or Miami Dolphinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins | 41 | 39.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 31 | 48.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings | 24 | 41.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.