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Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Sun, Oct 4, 2026

New York Jets at Chicago Bears

Final score: New York Jets 12 · 23 Chicago Bears. 35 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score12 · 23
Tracked picks35
Hit rate71.4%
Decided / Wins35 / 25

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

MarketPickLineOddsEVResult
Spreadhome-3.51.89+14.6%WIN
Game Totalover43.52.00+6.4%LOSS
Moneylinehome01.51+5.7%WIN

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Tyson BagentChicago BearsPassing Yardsunder200.51.91+89.1%268LOSS
Braelon AllenNew York JetsRushing Yardsunder56.51.90+88.1%59LOSS
Tyson BagentChicago BearsPassing Yardsunder199.51.89+87.1%268LOSS
Tyson BagentChicago BearsPassing TDsunder1.51.65+55.5%0WIN
Isaiah DavisNew York JetsRushing Yardsunder20.51.93+50.6%0WIN
Isaiah DavisNew York JetsReceptionsunder1.51.73+49.8%0WIN
Isaiah DavisNew York JetsRushing Yardsunder21.51.86+48.5%0WIN
Cole KmetChicago BearsReceptionsover1.52.54+44.5%2WIN
Braelon AllenNew York JetsReceptionsunder1.52.31+38.5%2LOSS
Isaiah DavisNew York JetsReceiving Yardsunder8.51.94+38.4%0WIN
Isaiah DavisNew York JetsReceiving Yardsunder9.51.85+36.1%0WIN
Geno SmithNew York JetsRushing Yardsunder11.51.85+26.4%0WIN
Braelon AllenNew York JetsReceiving Yardsunder12.51.91+22.2%8WIN
Garrett WilsonNew York JetsReceptionsunder6.51.86+21.7%3WIN
Tyson BagentChicago BearsRushing Yardsunder14.51.89+21.2%1WIN
Cole KmetChicago BearsReceiving Yardsover10.51.93+20.1%13WIN
Rome OdunzeChicago BearsReceiving Yardsover32.51.89+19.8%94WIN
Cole KmetChicago BearsReceiving Yardsover9.51.85+19.1%13WIN
D'Andre SwiftChicago BearsReceptionsunder2.51.58+18.5%2WIN
Kalif RaymondChicago BearsReceiving Yardsover31.51.88+15.0%6LOSS
Kyle MonangaiChicago BearsReceiving Yardsover5.51.91+13.3%4LOSS
Kyle MonangaiChicago BearsRushing Yardsover39.51.88+11.4%146WIN
Geno SmithNew York JetsPassing TDsover1.52.56+9.3%1LOSS
Kyle MonangaiChicago BearsRushing Yardsover40.51.88+9.1%146WIN
Geno SmithNew York JetsPassing Yardsunder227.51.89+8.3%119WIN
D'Andre SwiftChicago BearsReceiving Yardsunder14.51.91+7.1%16LOSS
Kalif RaymondChicago BearsReceptionsunder3.51.70+6.6%2WIN
Colston LovelandChicago BearsReceptionsover3.52.00+6.0%6WIN
Colston LovelandChicago BearsReceiving Yardsunder34.51.91+4.8%57LOSS
Luther Burden IIIChicago BearsReceiving Yardsover46.51.87+4.1%63WIN
Kyle MonangaiChicago BearsReceptionsover0.51.49+3.3%1WIN
Rome OdunzeChicago BearsReceptionsover2.51.83+1.8%6WIN

Recent NFL games for these teams

Other games involving Chicago Bears or New York Jetsthat we’ve published picks for.

DateMatchupPicksHit rate
Tue, Sep 29, 2026Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears5066.0%View →
Sun, Sep 27, 2026New York Jets at Detroit Lions5251.9%View →
Sun, Sep 20, 2026Green Bay Packers at New York Jets2556.0%View →
Sun, Sep 13, 2026New York Jets at Tennessee Titans2437.5%View →
Sun, Sep 13, 2026Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers3256.2%View →

Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET

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