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NFL · Sun, Oct 4, 2026
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens
Final score: Tennessee Titans 18 · 24 Baltimore Ravens. 37 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 6.00 | +80.0% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | -11.5 | 1.93 | +2.2% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 41.5 | 1.87 | +1.2% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 42.5 | 1.93 | +0.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.37 | +50.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.87 | +48.5% | 27 | WIN |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.21 | +47.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.99 | +46.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Justice Hill | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | under | 17.5 | 1.89 | +45.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 26.5 | 1.91 | +44.2% | 46 | LOSS |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 36.5 | 1.89 | +43.7% | 27 | WIN |
| Calvin Ridley | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 6.5 | 1.93 | +42.1% | 13 | WIN |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.64 | +40.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Calvin Ridley | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.90 | +38.0% | 13 | WIN |
| Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.71 | +32.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.88 | +29.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.88 | +28.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | over | 47.5 | 1.90 | +26.2% | 48 | WIN |
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | Passing Yards | under | 216.5 | 1.90 | +21.8% | 222 | LOSS |
| Calvin Ridley | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.42 | +20.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | over | 50.5 | 1.89 | +20.1% | 48 | LOSS |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.74 | +19.3% | 8 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Helm | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 19.5 | 1.91 | +15.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +12.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 37.5 | 1.91 | +12.5% | 19 | LOSS |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 71.5 | 1.91 | +11.9% | 118 | WIN |
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | under | 31.5 | 1.86 | +11.9% | 20 | WIN |
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | under | 30.5 | 1.93 | +11.8% | 20 | WIN |
| Gunnar Helm | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 18.5 | 1.89 | +9.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 72.5 | 1.89 | +9.1% | 118 | WIN |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.35 | +7.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | under | 14.5 | 1.92 | +7.0% | 7 | WIN |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Passing TDs | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +4.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | under | 10.5 | 1.90 | +3.6% | 27 | LOSS |
| Elic Ayomanor | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 19.5 | 1.88 | +2.6% | 22 | LOSS |
| Elic Ayomanor | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 18.5 | 1.92 | +1.3% | 22 | LOSS |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Passing Yards | under | 186.5 | 1.88 | +0.3% | 222 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Ravens or Tennessee Titansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys | 55 | 63.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at New York Giants | 41 | 70.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | New York Jets at Tennessee Titans | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts | 23 | 60.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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