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NFL · Fri, Nov 6, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens
Final score: Jacksonville Jaguars 33 · 10 Baltimore Ravens. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 4.90 | +47.0% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 39.5 | 1.89 | +11.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Hunter | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.72 | +89.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 48.5 | 1.91 | +42.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | over | 66.5 | 1.88 | +34.9% | 57 | LOSS |
| Nate Boerkircher | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.87 | +31.5% | 61 | WIN |
| Justice Hill | Baltimore Ravens | Rushing Yards | under | 14.5 | 1.92 | +30.2% | 85 | LOSS |
| Jakobi Meyers | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.23 | +29.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Josh Cameron | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.90 | +22.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| Brenton Strange | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 34.5 | 1.88 | +21.4% | 22 | LOSS |
| Justice Hill | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.88 | +20.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +18.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 1.71 | +18.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing Yards | over | 11.5 | 1.89 | +17.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Travis Hunter | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.93 | +17.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 18.5 | 1.89 | +17.4% | 19 | WIN |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.05 | +17.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Nate Boerkircher | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.48 | +14.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Josh Cameron | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +11.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Justice Hill | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.88 | +11.4% | 7 | WIN |
| Parker Washington | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.76 | +10.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Jakobi Meyers | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 39.5 | 1.87 | +8.4% | 65 | WIN |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | Passing Yards | over | 234.5 | 1.88 | +7.5% | 242 | WIN |
| Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens | Receiving Yards | over | 15.5 | 1.89 | +0.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.74 | +0.4% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Ravens or Jacksonville Jaguars that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars | 36 | 38.9% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills | 46 | 52.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens | 37 | 43.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns | 36 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars | 48 | 62.5% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 12, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons | 31 | 54.8% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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