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NFL · Sun, Oct 11, 2026
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals
Final score: Detroit Lions 45 · 21 Arizona Cardinals. 28 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 54.5 | 1.87 | +4.7% | WIN |
| Spread | away | 5.5 | 1.93 | +3.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Bourne | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.79 | +65.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| Sione Vaki | Detroit Lions | Rushing Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.88 | +54.7% | 11 | LOSS |
| Kendrick Bourne | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | under | 31.5 | 1.88 | +51.0% | 70 | LOSS |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | Rushing Yards | under | 89.5 | 1.89 | +49.9% | 151 | LOSS |
| Jeremiyah Love | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.85 | +34.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | over | 53.5 | 1.90 | +28.2% | 47 | LOSS |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 1.89 | +23.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Elijah Higgins | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +22.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Tyler Allgeier | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.25 | +19.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Isaac TeSlaa | Detroit Lions | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.59 | +18.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Tyler Allgeier | Arizona Cardinals | Rushing Yards | under | 27.5 | 1.91 | +16.0% | 7 | WIN |
| Jeremiyah Love | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.06 | +14.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | under | 84.5 | 1.88 | +13.5% | 66 | WIN |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Rushing Yards | over | 8.5 | 1.93 | +10.7% | 19 | WIN |
| Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.67 | +9.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Detroit Lions | Receiving Yards | under | 81.5 | 1.88 | +9.5% | 69 | WIN |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | Passing TDs | under | 2.5 | 1.56 | +9.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | Passing Yards | over | 281.5 | 1.90 | +9.0% | 271 | LOSS |
| Tyler Allgeier | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.85 | +8.5% | 9 | WIN |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Detroit Lions | Receptions | under | 7.5 | 1.81 | +8.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Sam LaPorta | Detroit Lions | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.14 | +7.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| Michael Wilson | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | over | 82.5 | 1.91 | +6.3% | 30 | LOSS |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 2.21 | +5.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Elijah Higgins | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.90 | +3.3% | 57 | LOSS |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | Rushing Yards | under | 0.5 | 1.97 | +2.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Passing Yards | under | 268.5 | 1.90 | +2.7% | 292 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Cardinals or Detroit Lions that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers | 26 | 69.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Jets at Detroit Lions | 52 | 51.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers | 38 | 78.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers | 19 | 68.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions | 21 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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