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NFL · Sun, Oct 11, 2026
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
Final score: Houston Texans 26 · 3 Tennessee Titans. 47 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 3.85 | +15.5% | LOSS |
| Spread | away | 7 | 1.93 | +0.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Hutchinson | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.91 | +50.8% | 65 | WIN |
| Xavier Hutchinson | Houston Texans | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +49.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Xavier Hutchinson | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 15.5 | 1.91 | +48.6% | 65 | WIN |
| David Montgomery | Houston Texans | Rushing Yards | under | 43.5 | 1.88 | +46.8% | 11 | WIN |
| David Montgomery | Houston Texans | Rushing Yards | under | 42.5 | 1.92 | +46.7% | 11 | WIN |
| David Montgomery | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.93 | +43.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.69 | +40.8% | 6 | WIN |
| Calvin Ridley | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 8.5 | 1.90 | +36.7% | 33 | WIN |
| Jaylin Noel | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.19 | +34.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +31.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Calvin Ridley | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +27.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.54 | +25.2% | 9 | WIN |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Rushing Yards | over | 35.5 | 1.88 | +25.2% | 62 | WIN |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Rushing Yards | over | 36.5 | 1.88 | +22.3% | 62 | WIN |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.93 | +22.1% | 28 | WIN |
| Nico Collins | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 76.5 | 1.89 | +20.6% | 56 | LOSS |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 9.5 | 1.84 | +20.3% | 28 | WIN |
| Tony Pollard | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | over | 48.5 | 1.88 | +20.2% | 52 | WIN |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | under | 14.5 | 1.92 | +18.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Jaylin Noel | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | under | 20.5 | 1.88 | +18.4% | 41 | LOSS |
| Nico Collins | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 77.5 | 1.88 | +17.8% | 56 | LOSS |
| Dalton Schultz | Houston Texans | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.22 | +17.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.88 | +17.0% | 23 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Helm | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.15 | +15.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Collins | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.97 | +14.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 32.5 | 1.88 | +12.9% | 53 | WIN |
| Jaylin Noel | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | under | 18.5 | 1.88 | +12.4% | 41 | LOSS |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 33.5 | 1.88 | +10.9% | 53 | WIN |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +10.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Elic Ayomanor | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +10.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Elic Ayomanor | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 15.5 | 1.90 | +9.1% | 17 | WIN |
| Kayshon Boutte | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.60 | +8.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | Passing Yards | over | 237.5 | 1.89 | +8.2% | 261 | WIN |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | Passing Yards | over | 239.5 | 1.88 | +5.8% | 261 | WIN |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.89 | +5.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Kayshon Boutte | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.91 | +4.6% | 38 | WIN |
| Elic Ayomanor | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.88 | +4.5% | 17 | WIN |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Passing Yards | under | 190.5 | 1.88 | +3.9% | 170 | WIN |
| Carnell Tate | Tennessee Titans | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.03 | +3.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Passing Yards | under | 189.5 | 1.90 | +3.8% | 170 | WIN |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | under | 11.5 | 1.85 | +3.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Passing TDs | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +3.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| David Montgomery | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.76 | +3.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | Rushing Yards | under | 10.5 | 1.94 | +2.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Gunnar Helm | Tennessee Titans | Receiving Yards | under | 16.5 | 1.88 | +2.7% | 0 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Tennessee Titans or Houston Texans that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans | 38 | 52.6% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens | 37 | 48.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at New York Giants | 41 | 70.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts | 58 | 53.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | New York Jets at Tennessee Titans | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans | 32 | 40.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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