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NBA · Sat, Oct 31, 2026
Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat
Final score: Indiana Pacers 125 · 145 Miami Heat. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 236.5 | 1.91 | +2.6% | WIN |
| Spread | home | -7.5 | 1.95 | +1.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | Indiana Pacers | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.98 | +91.4% | 22 | LOSS |
| Pelle Larsson | Miami Heat | Points | under | 11.5 | 1.86 | +84.1% | 18 | LOSS |
| Klay Thompson | Miami Heat | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.89 | +75.8% | 25 | WIN |
| Davion Mitchell | Miami Heat | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.85 | +75.6% | 15 | LOSS |
| Pascal Siakam | Indiana Pacers | Points | under | 23.5 | 1.97 | +61.9% | 13 | WIN |
| Andrew Wiggins | Miami Heat | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.92 | +56.7% | 12 | LOSS |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | Indiana Pacers | Points | over | 10.5 | 1.79 | +54.3% | 10 | LOSS |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Miami Heat | Points | under | 31.5 | 1.95 | +41.3% | 31 | WIN |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | Miami Heat | Points | over | 9.5 | 2.02 | +34.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jay Huff | Indiana Pacers | Points | under | 7.5 | 1.80 | +25.0% | 13 | LOSS |
| Aaron Nesmith | Indiana Pacers | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.92 | +17.2% | 9 | WIN |
| Bam Adebayo | Miami Heat | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.98 | +1.9% | 27 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Heat or Indiana Pacers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers | 21 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks | 28 | 46.4% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat | 30 | 66.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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