Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NBA · Thu, Nov 5, 2026
Atlanta Hawks at Washington Wizards
Final score: Atlanta Hawks 120 · 105 Washington Wizards. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | 2.5 | 1.96 | +11.7% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 232.5 | 1.91 | +3.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 21.5 | 1.95 | +93.0% | 26 | LOSS |
| Kyshawn George | Washington Wizards | Points | under | 14.5 | 1.89 | +84.1% | 25 | LOSS |
| Jalen Johnson | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 7.5 | 1.93 | +72.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyshawn George | Washington Wizards | Assists | under | 3.5 | 2.20 | +70.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| Bilal Coulibaly | Washington Wizards | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +68.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| Anthony Davis | Washington Wizards | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.29 | +57.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Dyson Daniels | Atlanta Hawks | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.93 | +41.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| Jalen Johnson | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 20.5 | 1.85 | +40.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Trae Young | Washington Wizards | Points | over | 19.5 | 1.82 | +39.4% | 18 | LOSS |
| Alex Sarr | Washington Wizards | Points | over | 10.5 | 1.88 | +38.5% | 11 | WIN |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 14.5 | 1.84 | +36.8% | 14 | WIN |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.76 | +36.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Kyshawn George | Washington Wizards | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.12 | +33.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.59 | +29.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Luguentz Dort | Atlanta Hawks | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.83 | +28.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| Aaron Wiggins | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.79 | +26.4% | 15 | LOSS |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.87 | +23.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Dyson Daniels | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 5.5 | 1.66 | +22.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| Bilal Coulibaly | Washington Wizards | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +20.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alex Sarr | Washington Wizards | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.68 | +20.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Trae Young | Washington Wizards | Assists | over | 9.5 | 1.71 | +9.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| Anthony Davis | Washington Wizards | Points | under | 23.5 | 1.90 | +5.5% | 26 | LOSS |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | under | 8.5 | 1.72 | +3.2% | 16 | LOSS |
| Trae Young | Washington Wizards | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.59 | +1.4% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Wizards or Atlanta Hawks that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 31, 2026 | Atlanta Hawks at New Orleans Pelicans | 25 | 88.0% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 30, 2026 | Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards | 28 | 57.1% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 30, 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks | 25 | 72.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks | 28 | 46.4% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers | 31 | 54.8% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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