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NBA · Fri, Oct 30, 2026
Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks
Final score: Cleveland Cavaliers 111 · 114 Atlanta Hawks. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 14.5 | 1.82 | +80.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 18.5 | 1.81 | +79.2% | 25 | LOSS |
| Peyton Watson | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.10 | +64.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Johnson | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 7.5 | 1.83 | +63.1% | 7 | WIN |
| Jalen Johnson | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 21.5 | 1.96 | +61.4% | 17 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 16.5 | 1.83 | +60.2% | 24 | WIN |
| Dyson Daniels | Atlanta Hawks | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.96 | +43.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 2.08 | +40.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Peyton Watson | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | under | 1.5 | 2.38 | +38.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | over | 6.5 | 1.92 | +30.6% | 12 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 6.5 | 1.72 | +22.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 24.5 | 1.87 | +22.4% | 22 | WIN |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.58 | +22.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jalen Johnson | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | under | 9.5 | 2.05 | +18.6% | 8 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.97 | +18.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.68 | +10.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 2.5 | 1.78 | +9.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Atlanta Hawks | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.89 | +8.3% | 29 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | under | 5.5 | 1.65 | +6.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Dyson Daniels | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.86 | +6.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| Dyson Daniels | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | under | 6.5 | 1.66 | +5.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 9.5 | 1.72 | +4.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 1.78 | +4.1% | 8 | LOSS |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.81 | +3.5% | 14 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.98 | +2.3% | 3 | WIN |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Hawks or Cleveland Cavaliers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks | 28 | 46.4% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers | 31 | 54.8% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Atlanta Hawks at Houston Rockets | 26 | 53.8% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 26, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers | 29 | 44.8% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 23, 2026 | Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets | 15 | 66.7% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 22, 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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