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NBA · Thu, Nov 5, 2026
Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets
Final score: Toronto Raptors 109 · 128 Denver Nuggets. 23 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 230.5 | 1.94 | +4.7% | WIN |
| Spread | away | -4.5 | 1.91 | +3.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.97 | +85.9% | 12 | WIN |
| Jakob Poeltl | Toronto Raptors | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.85 | +82.5% | 8 | WIN |
| Jakob Poeltl | Toronto Raptors | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 1.85 | +63.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | Toronto Raptors | Points | under | 11.5 | 1.85 | +61.6% | 8 | WIN |
| Scottie Barnes | Toronto Raptors | Points | under | 23.5 | 1.82 | +59.6% | 17 | WIN |
| Christian Braun | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.98 | +45.8% | 11 | LOSS |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Points | under | 23.5 | 1.88 | +42.5% | 14 | WIN |
| Jamal Shead | Toronto Raptors | Assists | under | 4.5 | 2.00 | +40.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 24.5 | 1.85 | +34.5% | 32 | WIN |
| Cameron Johnson | Denver Nuggets | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.57 | +34.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | Toronto Raptors | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.61 | +31.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.92 | +20.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| Aaron Gordon | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.81 | +19.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Immanuel Quickley | Toronto Raptors | Assists | under | 5.5 | 2.10 | +16.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| Cameron Johnson | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.72 | +10.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Immanuel Quickley | Toronto Raptors | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.97 | +9.6% | 13 | WIN |
| Aaron Gordon | Denver Nuggets | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.76 | +8.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Assists | under | 5.5 | 2.18 | +6.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| Christian Braun | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.79 | +4.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Scottie Barnes | Toronto Raptors | Assists | under | 5.5 | 1.94 | +0.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| Aaron Gordon | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.90 | +0.3% | 17 | WIN |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Denver Nuggets or Toronto Raptors that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 2, 2026 | Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers | 21 | 42.9% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 30, 2026 | Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 29, 2026 | Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans | 20 | 55.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors | 22 | 63.6% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 23, 2026 | Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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