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NBA · Fri, Nov 13, 2026
Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves
Final score: Dallas Mavericks 94 · 133 Minnesota Timberwolves. 28 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -5.5 | 1.88 | +8.1% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 227.5 | 1.91 | +2.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.96 | +82.3% | 16 | WIN |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 18.5 | 1.81 | +76.4% | 18 | WIN |
| Caleb Martin | Dallas Mavericks | Points | over | 3.5 | 1.82 | +73.9% | 7 | WIN |
| Daniel Gafford | Dallas Mavericks | Points | over | 7.5 | 1.76 | +55.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Caleb Martin | Dallas Mavericks | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.10 | +53.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.93 | +47.8% | 8 | LOSS |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 2.5 | 2.26 | +45.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Caleb Martin | Dallas Mavericks | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +43.5% | 5 | WIN |
| P.J. Washington | Dallas Mavericks | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +41.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyrie Irving | Dallas Mavericks | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.96 | +39.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| LaMelo Ball | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | over | 20.5 | 1.93 | +36.9% | 22 | WIN |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | over | 9.5 | 1.76 | +33.7% | 9 | LOSS |
| P.J. Washington | Dallas Mavericks | Rebounds | over | 6.5 | 2.15 | +30.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 2.5 | 1.90 | +22.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| LaMelo Ball | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +20.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 11.5 | 1.80 | +18.9% | 6 | WIN |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.91 | +16.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyrie Irving | Dallas Mavericks | Points | over | 21.5 | 1.93 | +16.8% | 10 | LOSS |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 2.14 | +15.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.68 | +12.2% | 9 | WIN |
| P.J. Washington | Dallas Mavericks | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.97 | +11.7% | 10 | LOSS |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +11.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Daniel Gafford | Dallas Mavericks | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +10.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 13.5 | 1.92 | +8.6% | 14 | LOSS |
| Daniel Gafford | Dallas Mavericks | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 1.85 | +6.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Kyrie Irving | Dallas Mavericks | Assists | over | 4.5 | 2.22 | +2.4% | 4 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Timberwolves or Dallas Mavericks that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 10, 2026 | Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks | 8 | 75.0% | View → |
| Mon, Nov 9, 2026 | Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 100.0% | View → |
| Sat, Nov 7, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans | 14 | 35.7% | View → |
| Sat, Nov 7, 2026 | Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets | 31 | 41.9% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs | 24 | 41.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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