MLB · Sat, May 9, 2026
Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox
Final score: Seattle Mariners 1 – 6 Chicago White Sox. 20 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.19 | +5.4% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.89 | +4.8% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 9 | 2.02 | +3.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.66 | +78.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.57 | +49.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Leo Rivas | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.29 | +44.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.67 | +37.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +28.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Mitch Garver | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.47 | +19.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +17.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Rob Refsnyder | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.43 | +11.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chase Meidroth | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.37 | +10.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Cal Raleigh | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +8.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Anthony Kay | Chicago White Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.73 | +6.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.89 | +5.7% | 6 | WIN |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +3.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.47 | +3.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.68 | +3.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| Anthony Kay | Chicago White Sox | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.76 | +1.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.69 | +1.3% | 0 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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