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MLB · Sat, Oct 3, 2026
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Chicago White Sox 3 · 0 Cleveland Guardians. 28 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.29 | +3.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Teel | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.44 | +111.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.96 | +71.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Braden Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.69 | +60.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +59.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.57 | +49.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.28 | +48.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.89 | +48.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tommy Pham | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.11 | +47.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +43.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase Meidroth | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.17 | +41.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.59 | +33.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Hagen Smith | Chicago White Sox | Strikeouts | over | 1.5 | 1.57 | +31.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +26.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Randal Grichuk | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | +20.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tommy Pham | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.65 | +19.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.86 | +18.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Randal Grichuk | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.28 | +18.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.97 | +18.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.88 | +16.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.88 | +13.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.95 | +8.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brenton Doyle | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +8.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.89 | +7.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.03 | +6.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.43 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.17 | +1.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Braden Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.85 | +0.4% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Chicago White Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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