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MLB · Mon, Oct 5, 2026
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Chicago White Sox 4 · 3 Cleveland Guardians. 29 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.35 | +5.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.82 | +3.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Teel | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.30 | +104.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andrew Benintendi | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.77 | +102.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.84 | +66.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Braden Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.72 | +61.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.54 | +56.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.92 | +49.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.99 | +48.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase Meidroth | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.30 | +46.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.16 | +43.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.57 | +42.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Sam Antonacci | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.65 | +38.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tristan Peters | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.42 | +36.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +31.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +21.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.75 | +14.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.91 | +14.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +12.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andrew Benintendi | Chicago White Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.17 | +11.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.99 | +10.3% | 11 | LOSS |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.08 | +8.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.71 | +7.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase Meidroth | Chicago White Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +7.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +4.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.45 | +3.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +3.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +3.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Braden Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.85 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Chicago White Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 28 | 39.3% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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