MLB · Tue, May 12, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox
Final score: Kansas City Royals 5 – 6 Chicago White Sox. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.87 | +3.0% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 9 | 2.02 | +2.4% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.04 | +1.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde | Chicago White Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.39 | +58.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Erick Fedde | Chicago White Sox | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.56 | +29.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Stephen Kolek | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.68 | +28.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.48 | +24.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.44 | +19.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +14.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Sam Antonacci | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +12.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +7.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Chase Meidroth | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.30 | +6.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Tristan Peters | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +5.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.37 | +4.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Maikel Garcia | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +1.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Jarred Kelenic | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.38 | +0.4% | 0 | WIN |
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