MLB · Sat, May 16, 2026
Kansas City Royals at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Kansas City Royals 2 – 4 St. Louis Cardinals. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.88 | +2.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Saggese | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.07 | +27.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.21 | +26.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.74 | +21.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +12.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Maikel Garcia | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +5.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +3.0% | 1 | WIN |
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