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MLB · Sun, Sep 27, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 2 · 3 Kansas City Royals. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.91 | +9.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch IV | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | under | 2.5 | 2.33 | +85.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | +51.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.44 | +44.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.12 | +39.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.28 | +31.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +30.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.30 | +23.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.17 | +21.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Maikel Garcia | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +18.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +17.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Massey | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.61 | +16.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +16.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +10.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Austin Hedges | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.73 | +9.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.61 | +8.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +8.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +6.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +5.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +4.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +3.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Kyle Isbel | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +1.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.29 | +1.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.40 | +1.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| John Rave | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.02 | +1.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.40 | +0.8% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Cleveland Guardians that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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