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MLB · Sun, Sep 27, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 2 · 3 Kansas City Royals. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.91 | +9.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch IV | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | under | 2.5 | 2.33 | +85.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | +51.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.12 | +39.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.28 | +31.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +30.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.30 | +23.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Maikel Garcia | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +18.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +17.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +10.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Austin Hedges | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.73 | +9.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +8.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +4.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Isbel | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +1.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.29 | +1.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.40 | +1.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.40 | +0.8% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 13 | 38.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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