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MLB · Sat, Sep 26, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 11 · 5 Kansas City Royals. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.89 | +2.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petey Halpin | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.25 | +35.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.29 | +31.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.11 | +31.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +29.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.09 | +28.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.27 | +27.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.28 | +23.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | +21.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.96 | +20.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael Massey | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.66 | +17.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.39 | +12.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +11.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.90 | +9.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +7.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +7.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.49 | +4.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.34 | +4.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Petey Halpin | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +4.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +3.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.44 | +3.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.81 | +2.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.52 | +2.1% | 2 | WIN |
| John Rave | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.92 | +0.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 13 | 38.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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