MLB · Sun, May 17, 2026
Kansas City Royals at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Kansas City Royals 2 – 0 St. Louis Cardinals. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.88 | +2.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Kolek | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.28 | +39.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Andre Pallante | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.86 | +31.6% | 7 | WIN |
| JJ Wetherholt | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +10.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Maikel Garcia | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +3.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +3.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +3.2% | 1 | WIN |
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