Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Fri, May 22, 2026
Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Seattle Mariners 2 · 0 Kansas City Royals. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Garver | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.18 | +36.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Rob Refsnyder | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +33.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Connor Joe | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +26.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.92 | +7.4% | 8 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +6.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +5.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +5.2% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Seattle Mariners that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 28 | 25.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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