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MLB · Sun, May 24, 2026
Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Seattle Mariners 6 · 8 Kansas City Royals. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.19 | +1.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +1.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.81 | +10.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +9.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +8.1% | 1 | WIN |
| J.P. Crawford | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +7.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +6.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +3.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +2.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.65 | +0.1% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Seattle Mariners that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 28 | 25.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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