MLB · Thu, Jun 11, 2026
Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
Final score: Houston Astros 2 – 3 Los Angeles Angels. 5 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.02 | +17.7% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +12.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.96 | +21.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.83 | +2.6% | 9 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +1.7% | 0 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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