MLB · Thu, Jun 11, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 8 – 6 Pittsburgh Pirates. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.62 | +10.1% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 2.00 | +7.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +15.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.17 | +10.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +6.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +6.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +0.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +0.2% | 2 | LOSS |
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