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MLB · Thu, Jun 11, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 8 · 6 Pittsburgh Pirates. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.62 | +10.1% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 2.00 | +7.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Cook | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.95 | +52.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +19.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +19.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +18.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +15.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +13.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +11.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.17 | +10.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +6.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +6.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +3.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +3.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +2.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +0.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +0.2% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Los Angeles Dodgers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 31 | 45.2% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 12, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers | 37 | 48.6% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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