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MLB · Thu, Jun 18, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 6 · 14 Kansas City Royals. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.99 | +13.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaze Jordan | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +57.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.57 | +49.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +40.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.32 | +24.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +19.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.04 | +19.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +17.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Lane Thomas | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +17.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Matthew Liberatore | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.10 | +15.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nelson Velazquez | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +13.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +9.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Starling Marte | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +6.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.44 | +4.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Masyn Winn | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +3.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.56 | +3.1% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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