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MLB · Tue, Jul 7, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox
Final score: Boston Red Sox 8 · 1 Chicago White Sox. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.04 | +1.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +25.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +23.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drew Romo | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +19.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Junior Perez | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.90 | +18.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +13.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Romy Gonzalez | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +11.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +9.8% | 5 | WIN |
| Randal Grichuk | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +6.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +1.6% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago White Sox or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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