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MLB · Wed, Sep 30, 2026
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Final score: Boston Red Sox 0 · 9 New York Yankees. 32 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.27 | +2.6% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 6.5 | 1.93 | +1.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.59 | +88.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.29 | +68.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Adley Rutschman | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.68 | +66.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.06 | +62.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.26 | +57.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +56.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.52 | +56.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Anthony Volpe | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.40 | +49.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trevor Story | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.93 | +45.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.36 | +42.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.01 | +40.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.09 | +36.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.86 | +31.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.39 | +30.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.20 | +22.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Heliot Ramos | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.46 | +18.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.96 | +16.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trevor Story | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.84 | +9.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.80 | +9.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.04 | +8.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +7.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.39 | +7.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Cam Schlittler | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.74 | +6.7% | 10 | LOSS |
| Anthony Volpe | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.93 | +3.6% | 1 | WIN |
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.81 | +2.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.69 | +2.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +2.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Roman Anthony | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +2.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.93 | +2.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Heliot Ramos | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.73 | +0.9% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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