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MLB · Tue, Jul 7, 2026
Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins
Final score: Seattle Mariners 5 · 6 Miami Marlins. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +38.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.17 | +38.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +17.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +11.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +10.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +2.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.38 | +1.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryan Woo | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.04 | +1.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +0.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Max Meyer | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.65 | +0.0% | 4 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Marlins or Seattle Mariners that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 28 | 25.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 16 | 56.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 13 | 61.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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