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MLB · Thu, Sep 24, 2026
Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Miami Marlins 1 · 2 Chicago Cubs. 20 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.91 | +9.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.91 | +63.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Griffin Conine | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.06 | +47.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.72 | +38.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Heriberto Hernandez | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.45 | +37.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Javier Sanoja | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.46 | +33.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Phillips | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | under | 3.5 | 2.13 | +26.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.87 | +19.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Jared Serna | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +14.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.40 | +14.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Conforto | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.04 | +13.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Jared Serna | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.29 | +12.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pedro Ramirez | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.39 | +9.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Deyvison De Los Santos | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.74 | +5.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +5.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.89 | +3.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Heriberto Hernandez | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.24 | +3.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Javier Sanoja | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.60 | +3.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Griffin Conine | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.89 | +2.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.21 | +1.2% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Miami Marlins that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 16 | 56.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 13 | 61.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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