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MLB · Sun, Jul 19, 2026
San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners
Final score: San Francisco Giants 3 · 6 Seattle Mariners. 23 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.74 | +0.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.39 | +45.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +31.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Heliot Ramos | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.49 | +28.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +24.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jung Hoo Lee | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.61 | +23.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.54 | +22.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +21.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +20.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Buddy Kennedy | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.74 | +17.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +17.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Eldridge | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +13.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Logan Gilbert | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.89 | +13.5% | 10 | LOSS |
| Logan Webb | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.93 | +13.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Weston Wilson | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.82 | +11.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +11.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Robbie Ray | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.78 | +10.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| Willy Adames | San Francisco Giants | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.87 | +10.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +6.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jung Hoo Lee | San Francisco Giants | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +3.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Victor Robles | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.22 | +1.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Drew Cavanaugh | San Francisco Giants | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.98 | +1.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | San Francisco Giants | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.40 | +0.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Mariners or San Francisco Giantsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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