Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Jul 21, 2026
San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals
Final score: San Francisco Giants 2 · 3 Kansas City Royals. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.19 | +25.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +18.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +17.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +15.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Eldridge | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +8.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.56 | +7.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Heliot Ramos | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +6.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +6.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +4.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Lane Thomas | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +3.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +3.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +2.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jung Hoo Lee | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +2.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.53 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +1.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Drew Gilbert | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +0.1% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or San Francisco Giantsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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