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MLB · Wed, Jul 22, 2026
San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals
Final score: San Francisco Giants 4 · 5 Kansas City Royals. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +16.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +15.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Willy Adames | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +11.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.68 | +9.4% | 7 | WIN |
| Heliot Ramos | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +7.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Lane Thomas | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +6.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Luis Arraez | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +4.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Jung Hoo Lee | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +4.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +4.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryce Eldridge | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +2.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +2.4% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or San Francisco Giantsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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