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MLB · Sat, Jul 25, 2026
Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox
Final score: Houston Astros 4 · 1 Chicago White Sox. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.79 | +0.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.19 | +83.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Braden Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +46.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.97 | +31.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.92 | +30.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.83 | +30.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +27.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Andrew Benintendi | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +25.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +21.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.34 | +21.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.64 | +18.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +18.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.16 | +16.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| Drew Romo | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.81 | +15.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +15.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Chase Meidroth | Chicago White Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +1.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago White Sox or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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