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MLB · Sun, Jul 26, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 5 · 3 St. Louis Cardinals. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.99 | +6.1% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.74 | +3.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +13.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +11.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.64 | +11.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Nelson Velazquez | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +10.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +9.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +8.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Masyn Winn | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +6.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.80 | +3.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| JJ Wetherholt | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +2.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ivan Herrera | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +0.2% | 5 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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