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MLB · Fri, Sep 25, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 5 · 6 Toronto Blue Jays. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.89 | +3.5% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.74 | +0.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.17 | +32.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Davis Schneider | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.71 | +24.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.90 | +9.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Charles McAdoo | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.07 | +6.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| George Springer | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.55 | +2.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.69 | +2.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nick Lodolo | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.24 | +1.8% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 13 | 15.4% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 18 | 33.3% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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