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MLB · Sat, Sep 26, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 5 · 1 Toronto Blue Jays. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +46.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carlos Jorge | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.40 | +39.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Juan Brito | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.69 | +38.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trey Yesavage | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.79 | +34.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +34.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.09 | +32.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Smith | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.18 | +24.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.97 | +20.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +15.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.62 | +11.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Hector Rodriguez | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.27 | +10.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.90 | +10.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Rhett Lowder | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.93 | +10.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Andres Gimenez | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.34 | +8.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Smith | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +6.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +4.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Andres Gimenez | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +3.3% | 1 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.16 | +2.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carlos Jorge | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +2.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +1.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.38 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Matt McLain | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +1.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.42 | +0.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.64 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 13 | 15.4% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 18 | 33.3% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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