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MLB · Wed, Jul 29, 2026
Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
Final score: Houston Astros 3 · 2 Los Angeles Angels. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.89 | +2.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +51.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +39.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.12 | +36.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.31 | +31.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.90 | +24.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +20.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +19.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jorge Soler | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +18.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.30 | +18.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.44 | +10.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Zach Neto | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +8.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mike Trout | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +7.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.81 | +3.7% | 9 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Angels or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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