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MLB · Fri, Jul 31, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 1 · 3 Toronto Blue Jays. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.44 | +12.9% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.94 | +3.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaze Jordan | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.98 | +79.6% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.25 | +66.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +40.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +24.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.61 | +22.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.29 | +16.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +12.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +6.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Jimmy Crooks | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.67 | +3.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +3.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +3.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +2.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +2.0% | 1 | WIN |
| JJ Wetherholt | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.63 | +1.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Masyn Winn | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +1.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +0.5% | 0 | WIN |
| George Springer | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +0.4% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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