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MLB · Sat, Aug 1, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 1 · 5 Toronto Blue Jays. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.19 | +6.9% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.88 | +2.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +28.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Davis Schneider | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.78 | +25.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +25.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Jimmy Crooks | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +16.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +13.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +7.9% | 2 | WIN |
| George Springer | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +5.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +5.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Kevin Gausman | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.14 | +3.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +3.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.36 | +1.8% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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