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MLB · Wed, Aug 5, 2026
Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Chicago White Sox 0 · 4 Boston Red Sox. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.87 | +6.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +23.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +18.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +14.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +13.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +13.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.80 | +8.6% | 8 | LOSS |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +4.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +2.4% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Chicago White Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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