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MLB · Thu, Aug 6, 2026
Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Chicago White Sox 11 · 12 Boston Red Sox. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.30 | +56.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.09 | +37.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.86 | +28.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +20.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +16.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +16.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +12.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.28 | +10.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +9.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +9.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Randal Grichuk | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +9.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Brenton Doyle | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.30 | +9.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.42 | +3.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.44 | +2.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Luisangel Acuna | Chicago White Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.21 | +0.2% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Chicago White Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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