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MLB · Wed, Aug 12, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 0 · 5 Chicago White Sox. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.68 | +1.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.10 | +41.2% | n/a | PUSH |
| Luis Castillo | Chicago White Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.97 | +33.2% | 10 | LOSS |
| Drew Romo | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +26.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +24.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +22.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +11.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +8.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +6.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +3.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +2.9% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago White Sox or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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