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MLB · Sun, Aug 16, 2026
Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Miami Marlins 7 · 1 Cincinnati Reds. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.84 | +0.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Navarreto | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.98 | +30.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +26.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Hector Rodriguez | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.97 | +23.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.81 | +18.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Eury Perez | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.92 | +18.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +13.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +6.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Javier Sanoja | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +5.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +0.0% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Miami Marlins that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 72.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 16 | 56.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 13 | 61.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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